A pirate is searching for buried treasure on 6 islands. On each island, there is a $\frac{1}{4}$ chance that the island has buried treasure and no traps, a $\frac{1}{12}$ chance that the island has traps but no treasure, and a $\frac{2}{3}$ chance that the island has neither traps nor treasure. What is the probability that while searching all 6 islands, the pirate will encounter exactly 3 islands with treasure, and none with traps?
Hi, thanks Alan again!
$(63)=20$waystochoose3islands.Foreachofthesechoices,thereisaprobabilityof$(14)3(23)3$thatthechosenislandshavetreasureandtheremainingoneshaveneithertreasurenortraps.Therefore,theprobabilitythatthepirateencountersexactly3islandswithtreasureandnonewithtrapsis$20(14)3(23)3=554$.H
I think I'm coming round to agreeing with Mellie! I interpret the question differently each time I read it!
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I was just trying to work it out on my own and I had the same problem as you Alan.
The meaning is not at all clear.
Mmm
Is Mellie allowed to do that ????
I have never seen a binomial used the way Mellie has used it - are you allowed to do that ??
I've only ever used it where p+q=1
If you can that would be a really good thing to know. ://
I am not convinced that you are allowed to do what you did either Alan.
You have multiplied them like as if the 2 probabilities are independant of each other but they are not independent of each other. ://