4*1/4*2/3*1/2*1=1/3 Maybe 
I said the prob that the first one is right is 1/4
The prob that the 2nd is wrong is 2/3
The prob that the 3rd is wrong is 1/2
The prob that the last one is wrong is 1
BUT
it could be the 1st or 2nd or 3rd or 4th that is right so i multiplied by 4
I won't guarantee that it is correct but it sounds ok to me. :)